US Open · 2026

Points from victory

At any moment in a match, how many consecutive points would each player need to win? Inspired by @datakabas’s original illustration.

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points from victory
points from victory
What does “points from victory” mean?

It is the minimum number of consecutive points a player would need to win the match from the current score, assuming their opponent wins none. A player begins 72 points away in a best-of-five match or 48 away in a best-of-three match.

How is “most nail-biting” ranked?

Matches are ordered first by how close the eventual loser came to victory. Ties are broken by the number of high-pressure points—when both players were within 12 consecutive points of winning—then by late lead changes, deciding-set tiebreaks, and deciding sets.

How is “biggest comeback” ranked?

A comeback score is the largest gap the eventual winner overcame between the two points-from-victory lines, divided by the minimum points needed at the start of the match: 72 for best-of-five or 48 for best-of-three. The raw gap is shown for context. Ties are broken by how close the loser came to victory, then by high-pressure points and late lead changes.

How are nationality colors chosen?

Each line uses a color from that player’s national flag. When two countries’ primary colors are too similar, the chart chooses the most distinct pairing from their flag palettes. Same-country matchups use two flag colors and a dashed second line.

Point-by-point source for this match: US Open / IBM SlamTracker. Historical records are adapted from the Tennis Abstract Match Charting Project and Jeff Sackmann Grand Slam Point-by-Point Archive under CC BY-NC-SA 4.0. Point logs are unavailable for three 2005 Wimbledon quarterfinals: Johansson–Nalbandian, Davenport–Kuznetsova, and Sharapova–Petrova.